Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.48	2.77
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	2.77 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
66%

Daniel Michalski
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nikoloz Basilashvili that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Michalski will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 134. Michalski is ranked ATP: 266.

Basilashvili has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Michalski is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basilashvili could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Michalski - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Arthur Cazaux - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWL?
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Alastair Gray - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Michael Geerts - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

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