Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: POZNAN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Daniel Michalski		Mate Valkusz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.85	1.4
	2.78	1.46
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
34.3%

Mate Valkusz
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Mate Valkusz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mate Valkusz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Daniel Michalski - Mate Valkusz Predictions

Users Predictions: Mate Valkusz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Valkusz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Daniel Michalski - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
20.05.23	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Jaime Faria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Mate Valkusz
ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Mate Valkusz - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Tomas Machac - Mate Valkusz	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Vit Kopriva - Mate Valkusz	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Mate Valkusz - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Mate Valkusz - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

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