Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: POZNAN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday


	Daniel Michalski		Rudolf Molleker

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.3	1.6
	2.34	1.62
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
40.5%

Rudolf Molleker
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Rudolf Molleker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Daniel Michalski - Rudolf Molleker Predictions

Users Predictions: Rudolf Molleker will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Michalski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molleker is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Molleker could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Molleker will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Molleker to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Daniel Michalski - Mate Valkusz	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Daniel Michalski - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
20.05.23	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Jaime Faria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLW
- Rudolf Molleker
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Rudolf Molleker - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Rudolf Molleker - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Rudolf Molleker - Oskar Grzegorzewski	2:0
10.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

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