Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZEKESFEHERVAR (HUNGARY), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday


	Daniel Michalski		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.45	1.52
	2.51	1.54
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.93)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Michalski
37.8%

Zsombor Piros
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Michalski's performance.

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zsombor Piros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Michalski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zsombor Piros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Daniel Michalski - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Piros will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piros: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Piros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Piros will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Julian Ocleppo - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
10.03.23	Daniel Michalski - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Daniel Michalski - Joao Domingues	2:1 ✺
16.02.23	Jason Kubler - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
13.03.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Zsombor Piros - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Zizou Bergs - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
20.02.23	Lukas Klein - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Zsombor Piros - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

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