Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - Final

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Daniel Rincon		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.62
	2.19	1.73
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.02)	1.66 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
43.5%

Jurij Rodionov
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 287. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 154.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Rodionov will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rincon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
30.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Harold Mayot	Mayot H. retired ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Hamish Stewart - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?WWWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
30.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Masur - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.24	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	2:1

Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide