Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Rincon		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
50.6%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Daniel Rincon - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 228. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 386.

Rincon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Llamas Ruiz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.76%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Steven Diez - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Andres Andrade - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Liam Draxl - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches