What is the expert prediction for Daniel Rincon vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Daniel Rincon vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Daniel Rincon vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, March 20, 2025)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Rincon		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.82	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
50.6%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 50.6% – 100%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:0

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 228. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 386.

Rincon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Llamas Ruiz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

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Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Daniel Rincon - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Viktor Durasovic	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Denis Yevseyev - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Steven Diez - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Andres Andrade - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Liam Draxl - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL

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