Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Pablo Llamas Ruiz		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.42	2.92
	1.53	2.35	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
64.8%

Sumit Nagal
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Nagal (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 202. Nagal is ranked ATP: 289.

Recent performances by Llamas Ruiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nagal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Llamas Ruiz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llamas Ruiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
23.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WL?WW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Luka Mikrut - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal	2:0

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide