Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: GENEVA (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: GENEVA (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	22:45	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	15:45	Max Sport 1
Croatia	14:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	14:45	Nova Sport 1
France	14:45	beIN Sports
Germany	14:45	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	13:45	Sport TV
Romania	15:45	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	14:45	SportKlub
Slovenia	14:45	SportKlub
Switzerland	14:45	SRF


	Daniel Rincon		Roberto Carballes Baena

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Daniel Rincon
27.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena
72.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Rincon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rincon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rincon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Geneva
21.05.23	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Daniel Rincon - Salvatore Caruso	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Maximilian Marterer - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
16.05.23	Joris De Loore - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
16.05.23	Hady Habib - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roma
15.05.23	Borna Coric - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW

ATP Mallorca
19.06.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Rincon	2:0

Daniel Rincon - Roberto Carballes Baena