Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday


	Borna Coric		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.5	2.6
	1.48	2.7
	1.49	2.85
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	2.74 ↑ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Coric
65.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Coric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Borna Coric - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Borna Coric will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coric is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coric will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coric won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Coric
ATP Roma
13.05.23	Borna Coric - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
05.05.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Daniel Altmaier - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Borna Coric - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roma
13.05.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
22.03.19	Borna Coric - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1
ATP US Open
29.08.18	Borna Coric - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0

Borna Coric - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide