Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.32
	1.63	2.27
	1.66	2.38
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.64	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	2.27 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
58.1%

Daniel Evans
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). Evans will win (votes: 12 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 45.7% – 79.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Evans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Hugo Dellien - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
09.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW
- Daniel Evans
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
20.04.23	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Daniel Evans - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans	2:1

Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide