Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil (Ecuador), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil (Ecuador) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.69	2.22
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	2.14 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
56.3%

Federico Coria
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's performance.

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Coria will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 170. Coria is ranked ATP: 104.

Barrios Vera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barrios Vera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
01.11.24	Andres Andrade - Federico Coria	Andrade A. retired ✺
30.10.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Nicolas Kicker - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Federico Coria - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Federico Coria - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.02.21	Federico Coria - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
08.07.16	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria	0:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Federico Coria