Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Gastao Elias		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.24	1.67
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.71)	1.67 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gastao Elias
44%

Daniel Vallejo
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gastao Elias's performance.

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gastao Elias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Vallejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gastao Elias - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Elias will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Elias is ranked ATP: 326. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 237.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vallejo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vallejo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Gastao Elias - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Gastao Elias - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Gastao Elias - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWL

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