Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.25	3.52	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.27	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	3.4 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
72.6%

Pedro Sakamoto
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Varillas (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas is ranked ATP: 253. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 375.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Varillas is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varillas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Renzo Olivo - Pedro Sakamoto	Olivo R. retired ✺
21.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Orlando Luz - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Ezequiel Monferrer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2
01.10.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2
28.09.21	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Sakamoto P. retired

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide