Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Daniil Glinka		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	2.20	1.60
	2.22	1.59
	2.33	1.65
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.63
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.34)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
41.9%

Harold Mayot
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Glinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harold Mayot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniil Glinka - Harold Mayot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 160. Mayot is ranked ATP: 252.

Glinka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mayot's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Glinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mayot will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.62%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Alexander Donski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Amit Vales - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Harold Mayot - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Harold Mayot	Ivashka I. Walkover ✺
04.08.26	Filip Pieczonka - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WW?WL

Daniil Glinka - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka - Harold Mayot Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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