Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.90	1.92
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.80	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
51.6%

Ugo Blanchet
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniil Glinka - Ugo Blanchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Glinka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Blanchet will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 173., and Blanchet is ranked ATP: 320..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Glinka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Glinka - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Mathys Erhard - Daniil Glinka	Erhard M. Retired ✺
07.09.26	Ryan Peniston - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?WL
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolas Mejia	Mejia N. Retired ✺
16.09.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?LWLW

Daniil Glinka - Ugo Blanchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide