Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.84	2.05
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.82	1.99
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
53.6%

Daniel Rincon
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ugo Blanchet - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rincon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 199. Rincon is ranked ATP: 208.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rincon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blanchet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Ugo Blanchet - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	James Watt - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Daniel Rincon - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Daniil Glinka - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.26	Daniel Rincon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Daniel Rincon - Jordan Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2

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