Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Daniil Medvedev		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.15	5.4
	1.15	5.11	Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.17	5.46	Watch
	1.13	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.18)	5.3 ↑ (4.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
82.1%

Kamil Majchrzak
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 59% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Majchrzak (2.43) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Majchrzak (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Majchrzak (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 59.

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is the clear favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	1:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWTLL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Cruz Hewitt	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL

Daniil Medvedev - Kamil Majchrzak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide