Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: World Tennis League, hard

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: S.M. Krishna Tennis Stadium (Bengaluru)


	Daniil Medvedev		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.4	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
68.1%

Denis Shapovalov
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
17.12.25	Gael Monfils - Daniil Medvedev	1:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
28.10.25	Jaume Munar - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLW?W
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
23.10.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?WW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
30.10.22	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.21	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Tokyo
06.10.18	Denis Shapovalov - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Washington
01.08.18	Denis Shapovalov - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP US Open
28.08.17	Denis Shapovalov - Daniil Medvedev	3:0

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