Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Daniil Medvedev		Laslo Djere

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.64	2.41
	1.68	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.54)	2.23 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
57.3%

Laslo Djere
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Laslo Djere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laslo Djere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Djere will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 3 - 60%). Djere (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 10. Djere is ranked ATP: 71.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Djere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL
- Laslo Djere
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Laslo Djere - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Federico Coria - Laslo Djere	Coria F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
21.06.23	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.22	Laslo Djere - Daniil Medvedev	0:3
ATP Budapest
24.04.17	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	Medvedev D. retired

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