Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Daniil Medvedev		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.6	Watch
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.77	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	2.64 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
64.1%

Alexandre Muller
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	0%	23.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Muller will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Muller (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Muller (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -3.5 Games - Medvedev (1.96) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +4 Games - Muller (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Sets - Medvedev (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Muller (votes: 9 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Muller is ranked ATP: 39.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Medvedev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Medvedev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.19%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Arthur Fils - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
ATP Challenger
09.09.16	Daniil Medvedev - Alexandre Muller	2:0

Upcoming Matches