Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 8, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Etienne Donnet

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.67	1.43
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.09)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
35.7%

Etienne Donnet
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Ostapenkov's form might have worsened.

Etienne Donnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Etienne Donnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Ostapenkov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etienne Donnet than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etienne Donnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniil Ostapenkov - Etienne Donnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 718. Donnet is ranked ATP: 462.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenkov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Isaac Nortey	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Jack Loge - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Louis Tessa - Daniil Ostapenkov	Tessa L. retired ✺
04.10.25	Amr Asrawy - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Leo Borg - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WL?LW
- Etienne Donnet
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Mert Aytekin - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Florent Bax - Etienne Donnet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.08.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Etienne Donnet	2:1

Upcoming Matches