Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Matteo Martineau		Etienne Donnet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.34	2.92	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.67)	2.71 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
65.6%

Etienne Donnet
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Martineau's performance.

Etienne Donnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Etienne Donnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Martineau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etienne Donnet than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Etienne Donnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Martineau (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Martineau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 297. Donnet is ranked ATP: 449.

Martineau is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Donnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martineau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martineau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Etienne Donnet
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Etienne Donnet	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Florent Bax - Etienne Donnet	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Egor Gerasimov - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide