Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuning 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Yuta Kikuchi

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Daniil Ostapenkov
59%

Yuta Kikuchi
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Yuta Kikuchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 732. Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 665.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ostapenkov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Qian Sun	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Uisung Park	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Filip Peliwo - Daniil Ostapenkov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL
- Yuta Kikuchi
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Qian Sun - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ji Sung Nam - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW

Daniil Ostapenkov - Yuta Kikuchi