Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tsukuba, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Yuta Kikuchi		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	2.71	1.47
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Kikuchi
35.2%

Naoki Nakagawa
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Kikuchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Kikuchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naoki Nakagawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yuta Kikuchi - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 700. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 678.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kikuchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakagawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Kikuchi
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Yuta Tomida	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Hunter Heck - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Ryo Tabata - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Emile Hudd - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Leo Vithoontien - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Riku Takahata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWLL

Yuta Kikuchi - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide