Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Dubrovnik, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Nuria Brancaccio		Lisa Pigato

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.74	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 (2)	1.73 (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
46.4%

Lisa Pigato
53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nuria Brancaccio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lisa Pigato have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lisa Pigato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brancaccio will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Pigato will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brancaccio: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 151. Pigato is ranked WTA: 200.

Brancaccio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pigato is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pigato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Pigato will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brancaccio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Julia Grabher	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Veronika Erjavec - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Lisa Pigato
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Alice Tubello - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Charo Esquiva Banuls - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato	1:2
20.02.24	Lisa Pigato - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2
16.08.22	Lisa Pigato - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1

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