Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya (Turkey), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
59.9%

Maja Chwalinska
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.

Maja Chwalinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maja Chwalinska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maja Chwalinska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 97. Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 131.

Two players are playing changeable.

Chwalinska could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Daria Saville - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
24.02.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Maja Chwalinska - Zarina Diyas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.25	Victoria Mboko - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Maja Chwalinska - Valentina Ryser	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Maja Chwalinska - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
02.02.25	Maja Chwalinska - Ella Seidel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

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