Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Veronika Erjavec

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.41
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
60.5%

Veronika Erjavec
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Veronika Erjavec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Erjavec than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Veronika Erjavec Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Erjavec will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carle: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 97. Erjavec is ranked WTA: 154.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Carle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL
- Veronika Erjavec
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Xinyu Gao - Veronika Erjavec	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Veronika Erjavec - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Veronika Erjavec - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.25	Veronika Erjavec - Lola Radivojevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Veronika Erjavec - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2
ITF Tournaments
02.09.22	Maria Lourdes Carle - Veronika Erjavec	2:0

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