Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 2 (Turkey), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Leyre Romero Gormaz

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
64.9%

Leyre Romero Gormaz
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leyre Romero Gormaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyre Romero Gormaz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Leyre Romero Gormaz Predictions

Users Predictions: Maria Lourdes Carle will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 97. Romero Gormaz is ranked WTA: 157.

Recent matches Carle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Romero Gormaz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carle will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Daria Saville - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Petra Martic - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW
- Leyre Romero Gormaz
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Anca Alexia Todoni - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Ella Seidel	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Sijia Wei - Leyre Romero Gormaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWW

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