Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Darwin Blanch		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.97
	1.94	1.79	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	1.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
49%

Alex Bolt
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darwin Blanch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Bolt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Darwin Blanch - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Blanch will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bolt will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanch (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bolt (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 280. Bolt is ranked ATP: 178.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Pavle Marinkov	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Darwin Blanch - Yu Hsiou Hsu	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Darwin Blanch - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	Jasika O. retired ✺
09.02.26	Kokoro Isomura - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Alex Bolt - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Alex Bolt - Corentin Denolly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLWW

Darwin Blanch - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide