Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Darya Kasatkina		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	4.50	1.20	Watch
	4.20	1.22
	4.80	1.19
	5.63	1.20
	4.63	1.2	Watch
	4.90	1.20
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.80	1.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.74)	1.2 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
20.2%

Naomi Osaka
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Naomi Osaka will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 65. Osaka is ranked WTA: 14.

Kasatkina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osaka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Janice Tjen - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Mingge Xu - Darya Kasatkina	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
22.06.26	McCartney Kessler - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA Nottingham
13.06.26	Darya Kasatkina - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Darya Kasatkina - Robin Montgomery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.26	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. Retired ✺
26.06.26	Xin Yu Wang - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Naomi Osaka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WW?WW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	1:2
WTA Roma
11.05.24	Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
18.03.18	Naomi Osaka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

Darya Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide