Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Naomi Osaka		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.60	2.30
	1.61	2.33
	1.67	2.38
	1.63	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.30
	1.63	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.68)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
58.8%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Naomi Osaka - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 15. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.

Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alexandrova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alexandrova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Naomi Osaka - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Ekaterina Alexandrova - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.26	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Naomi Osaka - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Iva Jovic - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Donna Vekic - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg
24.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anastasia Potapova	Potapova A. Retired ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWL?L

Upcoming Matches