Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	David Goffin		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.49
	2.59	1.56
	2.57	1.51	Watch
	2.67	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.41)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
37.5%

Gabriel Diallo
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Diallo will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriel Diallo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Goffin is ranked ATP: 83. Diallo is ranked ATP: 35.

Goffin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Diallo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diallo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Goffin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 60.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Ben Shelton - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	David Goffin - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	David Goffin - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	David Goffin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
23.09.25	Arthur Rinderknech - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWL?W
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Orel Kimhi	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
11.01.24	David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo	2:1

David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide