Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Benjamin Bonzi		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.83	1.98
	1.94	1.99
	1.94	1.82	Watch
	1.92	1.92
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.21)	1.92 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
50.2%

Gabriel Diallo
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriel Diallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriel Diallo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Diallo will win (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 73.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 89. Diallo is ranked ATP: 91.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonzi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Christopher OConnell - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Jack Draper - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	0:2

Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide