Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Gabriel Diallo		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.75	1.26
	3.98	1.28
	3.41	1.30	Watch
			Watch
	3.72	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (3.84)	1.27 ↑ (1.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
25.2%

Taylor Harry Fritz
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Fritz will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 35. Fritz is ranked ATP: 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fritz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Taylor Harry Fritz - the odds 1.24 are the expected chance of winning is 75.67%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Orel Kimhi	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Gabriel Diallo - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Damir Dzumhur	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WLWL
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Gabriel Diallo	3:2

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