Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva (Switzerland) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Welte J. (Sui)


	David Goffin		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.6	2.4
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)	2.43 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
61.2%

Gianluca Mager
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for David Goffin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

David Goffin - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Goffin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mager is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goffin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	David Goffin - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	David Goffin - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	David Goffin - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	David Goffin - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LW?LL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Gastao Elias - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
07.05.24	Hugo Dellien - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.24	Gianluca Mager - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LL?LW

David Goffin - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide