Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorenzo Musetti		David Goffin

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.15	5.25
	1.14	5.32	Watch
	1.15	6.28
	1.15	5.44	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.17	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.26)	5.54 ↑ (4.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
82.8%

David Goffin
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and David Goffin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Goffin is ranked ATP: 80.

In recent matches, Musetti has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Goffin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Musetti is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- David Goffin
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Quentin Halys - David Goffin	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	David Goffin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Sebastian Baez - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	David Goffin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	2:0
ATP US Open
30.08.22	David Goffin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:3
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.21	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	3:0

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