Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	David Goffin		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.59	2.46
	1.59	2.47
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
60%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

David Goffin - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Varillas will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Goffin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	David Goffin - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	David Goffin - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	David Goffin - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	David Goffin - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LLLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Michael Mmoh - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

David Goffin - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide