Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)


	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.9)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
43%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Preview

Recent matches Moreno De Alboran is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreno De Alboran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Varillas Patino-Samudio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
26.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Franco Agamenone - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
30.04.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Bruno Kuzuhara - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Michael Mmoh - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Enzo Couacaud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide