Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	David Goffin		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.68	2.24
	1.67	2.1
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
57.3%

Nuno Borges
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

David Goffin - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Borges will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Goffin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Borges is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goffin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Jack Draper - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	David Goffin - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	David Goffin - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	David Goffin - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	David Goffin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Titouan Droguet - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
19.10.23	Maximilian Marterer - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Nuno Borges - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Nuno Borges - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL

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