Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	David Pichler		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	4.2	1.18
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.27	1.2
	4.06	1.22	Watch
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.61	1.17	Watch
	4.2	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (3.19)	1.19 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Pichler
21.8%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Pichler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that David Pichler's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Pichler than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for David Pichler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

David Pichler - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pichler is ranked ATP: 594. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 375.

Pichler is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pichler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alvarez Varona is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Pichler
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	David Pichler - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	David Pichler - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	David Pichler - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Martin Landaluce - David Pichler	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	David Pichler - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
11.11.24	Alexis Gautier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
10.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Otso Martikainen - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WLWW

David Pichler - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide