Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Deborah Chiesa		Ekaterina Kazionova

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
50.4%

Ekaterina Kazionova
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ekaterina Kazionova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Kazionova than the current prediction. (-2%)

Deborah Chiesa - Ekaterina Kazionova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 667. Kazionova is ranked WTA: 369.

In recent matches, Chiesa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kazionova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kazionova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Noemi Basiletti - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Leonie Kung	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Isabella Maria Serban	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Fabiola Marino	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anne Schaefer - Deborah Chiesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Ekaterina Kazionova
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Ekaterina Kazionova	Steur J. L. S. retired ✺
17.09.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Lidia Encheva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Nahia Berecoechea	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Gabriela Lee - Ekaterina Kazionova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 L?LLW

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