Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Reus, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur		Ekaterina Kazionova

	1	2
	1.5	2.34
	1.10	5.67	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	3.25 ↑ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
70%

Ekaterina Kazionova
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur's performance.

Ekaterina Kazionova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Kazionova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Kazionova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Kazionova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Steur is ranked WTA: 470. Kazionova is ranked WTA: 369.

In recent matches, Steur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kazionova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Steur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Steur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Steur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alba Rey Garcia	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Sina Herrmann	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Claudia Hoste Ferrer	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Madhurima Sawant	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL
- Ekaterina Kazionova
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Lidia Encheva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Ekaterina Kazionova - Nahia Berecoechea	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Gabriela Lee - Ekaterina Kazionova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Julia Avdeeva - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Ekaterina Kazionova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Ekaterina Kazionova - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0

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