Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Denis Shapovalov		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.2	1.66
	2.3	1.6
	2.3	1.62
	2.25	1.6
	2.4	1.65
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	3.32	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.77)	1.59 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
39.6%

Alex De Minaur
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.5%	0%	83.5%

Denis Shapovalov - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (111 of 133 users predict this - 83.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.15% – 89.77%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

De Minaur is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima	1:3 ✺
28.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP London
15.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Alex De Minaur - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
31.07.22	Alex De Minaur - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Ilya Ivashka - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
29.07.22	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
28.07.22	Alex De Minaur - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
04.01.20	Denis Shapovalov - Alex De Minaur	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.19	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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