Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.67	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.3)	2.61 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
63.9%

Arthur Rinderknech
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Rinderknech's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 31. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 75.

Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rinderknech's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rinderknech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shapovalov is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Filip Misolic	2:3 ✺
26.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Arthur Rinderknech	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	3:2
ATP Doha
17.02.22	Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2
ATP Stockholm
11.11.21	Arthur Rinderknech - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide