Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8, SportKlub 9, SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2, Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4, Sportklub
Spain	Movistar Deportes
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Denis Shapovalov		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.81	2.01
	1.77	2.12
	1.82	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	2.03 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
53.2%

Brandon Nakashima
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nakashima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 106. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 52.

Shapovalov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Washington
02.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	Shelton B. awarded ✺
01.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Adrian Mannarino - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
22.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Nicolas Arseneault	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
23.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
29.05.23	Brandon Nakashima - Denis Shapovalov	2:3
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.22	Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima	1:3

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