Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Denis Shapovalov		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.48	2.63	Watch
	1.52	2.87
	1.44	2.78	Watch
	1.46	2.75
	1.46	2.73	Watch
	1.44	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)	2.73 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
65.2%

Dalibor Svrcina
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 68. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 116.

Shapovalov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Svrcina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shapovalov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Denis Shapovalov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
ATP London
17.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WW?LW
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Los Cabos
30.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WLLW

Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrcina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide