Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Jack Pinnington Jones		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.41	1.55
	2.47	1.6
	2.37	1.54	Watch
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.41	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.63)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Pinnington Jones
40.4%

Denis Shapovalov
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Pinnington Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Shapovalov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Jack Pinnington Jones - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pinnington Jones: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 133. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 42.

Pinnington Jones is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shapovalov is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pinnington Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shapovalov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Shapovalov - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
12.06.26	Filippo Romano - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Colton Smith - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Marin Cilic - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Jack Pinnington Jones - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide