Match Info

Date: 16 March 2021, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.55	2.48	Watch
	1.54	2.38
	1.58	2.56
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	2.5 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
61.9%

Jan-Lennard Struff
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	0%	28%

Denis Shapovalov - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Struff will win (votes: 14 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 59.6% – 84.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struff is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Struff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Doha
11.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
10.03.21	Vasek Pospisil - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3 ✺
10.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Bernard Tomic	3:0 ✺
08.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Dubai
15.03.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
03.03.21	David Goffin - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
23.02.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Christopher OConnell - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0 ✺
ATP Cup
05.02.21	Jan-Lennard Struff - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
24.08.20	Denis Shapovalov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.19	Denis Shapovalov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.19	Denis Shapovalov - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.19	Denis Shapovalov - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Tokyo
04.10.18	Jan-Lennard Struff - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

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