Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Denis Shapovalov		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	13	1.04	Watch
	9.75	1.04	Watch
	11	1.03	Watch
	14.61	1.05
	12.29	1.03	Watch
	11	1.04
	11	1.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.81 ↓ (13)	1.04 (1.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
8.1%

Jannik Sinner
91.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.4%

92.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Sinner will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Sinner (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 39. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
14.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWL?L
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
30.01.26	Novak Djokovic - Jannik Sinner	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov	3:1
ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	3:2

Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide