Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 December 2024, Tuesday


	Denis Shapovalov		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.53	2.46	Watch
	1.61	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
60.9%

Kei Nishikori
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nishikori will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 56. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 106.

Shapovalov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nishikori in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade 2
09.11.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Jiri Lehecka - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Christopher OConnell - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Denis Shapovalov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Jacob Fearnley - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
02.08.18	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2
ATP Acapulco
27.02.18	Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov	1:2

Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide